Manchester City is up 10%, Arsenal is down 44%.
It is the change in the probability of winning due to the ‘big match result’.
Manchester City finally turned the tide perfectly.
Man City defeated Arsenal 4-1 in the 2022-2023 English Premier League (EPL) home game held at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England on the 27th (Korean time).
Elling Hollan and Kevin De Bruyne, who emerged as the best duo this season, showed the power of a powerful one-two punch.
De Bruyne scored 2 goals and 1 assist, and Hollan scored 1 goal and 2 assists.
Man City are still second. That’s 73 points. Arsenal are still leading with 75 points.
However, there are two more games left for Man City. In other words, if you add 1 win in 2 games, Man City will automatically rise to the top.
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola and Arsenal manager Miguel Arteta said in one voice in an interview with local media before the match that ‘the outcome of the match between Manchester City and Arsenal does not determine the direction of the championship’.토스카지노
However, data don’t lie. The BBC published an article on the analysis by data analyst Nielsen Gracenote.
‘If Manchester City win a big match, their 79% chance of winning goes up to 88%. On the other hand, Arsenal, who lost the big match, plummeted to 11%. If Arsenal had won the big match, they would have had a 55% chance of winning.”
Arsenal, which was aiming for the top of the EPL, caused a strong typhoon this season, but in the end, it is holding on to a very unstable leading position at the end of the season. On the other hand, Man City eventually maximized the odds of winning the comeback.
Meanwhile, British BBC commentator Chris Sutton showed a surprising hit rate. He said before the match that ‘Man City will beat Arsenal 3-1’.
Article provided by Sports Chosun
Donghyuk Ryu (firstname.lastname@example.org)